Published: 16 Sep 2025

Author: Ju Hyung Kim

There is a possibility of a dual contingency in the Taiwan Strait and the Korean Peninsula. ASEAN and the Republic of Korea need to consider modes of cooperation in such difficult times.

The probability of a dual contingency — simultaneous conflicts erupting in the Taiwan Strait and on the Korean Peninsula — remains low, yet it is steadily rising. China could attempt a forcible unification with Taiwan, while North Korea could launch a military strike against South Korea. The two countries could deem that the US and allied military capacity in the region is overstretched.

For full article, please open the link:

https://fulcrum.sg/asean-rok-security-cooperation-in-a-dual-contingency/

The article was published by ISEAS.

IRSEA and ISEAS have agreed to enter into a relationship of cooperation.

The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the official policy, position or view of IRSEA