Published 14 Feb 2025

Author: Daljit Singh

A ceasefire in Ukraine could enable Washington to strengthen its deterrence network in the Indo-Pacific. But this depends on whether Trump hews to traditional balance of power considerations.

It might be difficult to end the fighting in Ukraine, but forces in play could eventually propel Russia and Ukraine to do so. A ceasefire could lay the ground for Washington to fully implement its integrated deterrence network in the Indo-Pacific. This, however, is predicated on the assumption that Trump will hew to traditional US instincts regarding alliances and partnerships.

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